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Utah FORGE 16B(78)-32 mini-fracs (measured)

Measured downhole falloffs run blind through the in-app ISIP and G-function closure picks, compared with the published Battelle picks.

Aggregate metrics
MetricnMAERMSEMAPEBiasP10/P50/P90 relGrade
isipPsi [psi]1043.699106.2271.3%-42.0970.1 / 0.2 / 1.8%
A
closurePsi [psi]697.133110.1963.1%-97.1331.6 / 2.2 / 5.4%
A
Per-case observed vs modeled
CaseMetricObservedModeledResidualRel err
MF-1-c1isipPsi [psi]4536.0004528.418-7.5820.2%
MF-1-c2isipPsi [psi]4421.0004393.689-27.3110.6%
MF-2-c1isipPsi [psi]3312.0003312.3080.3080.0%
MF-2-c1closurePsi [psi]3270.0003128.500-141.5004.3%
MF-2-c2isipPsi [psi]3249.0003254.6095.6090.2%
MF-2-c2closurePsi [psi]3179.0003124.600-54.4001.7%
MF-2-c3isipPsi [psi]3327.0003329.0912.0910.1%
MF-2-c3closurePsi [psi]3312.0003244.300-67.7002.0%
MF-4-c1isipPsi [psi]3328.0002995.400-332.60010.0%
MF-4-c2isipPsi [psi]3597.0003564.853-32.1470.9%
MF-4-c2closurePsi [psi]2972.0002899.800-72.2002.4%
MF-4-c3isipPsi [psi]3588.0003584.197-3.8030.1%
MF-4-c3closurePsi [psi]2967.0002774.300-192.7006.5%
MF-6-c1isipPsi [psi]3476.0003464.757-11.2430.3%
MF-6-c1closurePsi [psi]3456.0003401.700-54.3001.6%
MF-6-c3isipPsi [psi]3418.0003403.704-14.2960.4%
Benchmark inputs (per case)
CaseInputValue
MF-1-c1stationMF-1
MF-1-c1cycle1
MF-1-c1tvdFt5,655.2
MF-1-c1hydrostaticPsi2,431
MF-1-c1pumpMin23.117
MF-1-c1falloffMin5.23
MF-1-c2stationMF-1
MF-1-c2cycle2
MF-1-c2tvdFt5,655.2
MF-1-c2hydrostaticPsi2,431
MF-1-c2pumpMin12.917
MF-1-c2falloffMin5.68
MF-2-c1stationMF-2
MF-2-c1cycle1
MF-2-c1tvdFt5,494
MF-2-c1hydrostaticPsi2,358
MF-2-c1pumpMin15.267
MF-2-c1falloffMin37.28
MF-2-c2stationMF-2
MF-2-c2cycle2
MF-2-c2tvdFt5,494
MF-2-c2hydrostaticPsi2,358
MF-2-c2pumpMin17.633
MF-2-c2falloffMin45.68
MF-2-c3stationMF-2
MF-2-c3cycle3
MF-2-c3tvdFt5,494
MF-2-c3hydrostaticPsi2,358
MF-2-c3pumpMin22.95
MF-2-c3falloffMin13.15
MF-4-c1stationMF-4
MF-4-c1cycle1
MF-4-c1tvdFt5,966.18
MF-4-c1hydrostaticPsi2,546
MF-4-c1pumpMin14.367
MF-4-c1falloffMin8.02
MF-4-c2stationMF-4
MF-4-c2cycle2
MF-4-c2tvdFt5,966.18
MF-4-c2hydrostaticPsi2,546
MF-4-c2pumpMin13.95
MF-4-c2falloffMin17.93
MF-4-c3stationMF-4
MF-4-c3cycle3
MF-4-c3tvdFt5,966.18
MF-4-c3hydrostaticPsi2,546
MF-4-c3pumpMin20.933
MF-4-c3falloffMin23.9
MF-6-c1stationMF-6
MF-6-c1cycle1
MF-6-c1tvdFt5,637.64
MF-6-c1hydrostaticPsi2,407
MF-6-c1pumpMin13.883
MF-6-c1falloffMin7.98
MF-6-c3stationMF-6
MF-6-c3cycle3
MF-6-c3tvdFt5,637.64
MF-6-c3hydrostaticPsi2,407
MF-6-c3pumpMin21.2
MF-6-c3falloffMin8.65
Scoring breakdown
Grade bands (worst-metric rollup)
A · MAPE ≤ 10%
B · MAPE ≤ 20%
C · MAPE ≤ 35%
D · MAPE > 35%
MetricMAPEGradeDrives rollup?
isipPsi1.3%
A
yes (worst)
closurePsi3.1%
A
yes (worst)
Dataset rollup grade:
A
— the worst per-metric grade sets the card chip.
Citations
Kelley, M. et al. (Battelle), Utah FORGE Project 2439 Milestone 3.4 – In-Situ Stress Measurement Report, Table 3-8 (DOE GDR 1596).
DOI / ref: https://gdr.openei.org/files/1596/Battelle-2-2439-AF1_Milestone%203.4%20%28In-Situ%20Stress%20Measurement%29%20Report.pdf
Utah FORGE 16B(78)-32 straddle-packer mini-frac LAS data, DOE Geothermal Data Repository 1596.
DOI / ref: https://gdr.openei.org/submissions/1596

U.S. DOE public data (GDR).

Compiled: 2026-10-01