Wellbore Genius
Scenario risk dashboard
Score several injection scenarios of the same site side by side: how much CO₂ goes in, what the pressure does to the fracture ceiling and the caprock seal, and what the pressure rise does to the mapped fault. The rock, seal and fault are shared so the scenarios stay comparable — each scenario moves only the plan.
The risk summary below is written for the scenario report, so the report carries the same numbers you see here.
Worst scenario
The score is the weakest link across every limit, never an average.
modelled: Over limit
90/100
Extended life — 2,700 t/d for 30 yr
Driving pillar: Injected mass
Worst limit: Largest magnitude the volume allows
Injected mass
93
worst of 3 scored scenarios
Pressure
14
worst of 3 scored scenarios
Geomechanics
77
worst of 3 scored scenarios
Read before you use these numbers
- Two or more scenarios share the same score because the score is capped once a limit is passed. Compare the breached rows below, not the scores.
- No recorded microseismic catalog is attached, so the magnitude rows are modelled upper bounds only. Import a catalog on the microseismic screen to score measured seismicity here.
Scenarios
Leave a field blank to inherit the shared plan value below.
90/100 · Over limit
Cumulative CO₂
19,723,500 tonne
vs baseline 0 tonne
Pore volume filled
65.1 % of 70 % limit
End pressure
3,552 psi (+52 psi)
vs baseline 0 psi
Fault slip margin
639 psi · up to 5.71 Mw
90/100 · Over limit
Cumulative CO₂
29,220,000 tonne
vs baseline +9,496,500 tonne
Pore volume filled
96.4 % of 70 % limit
End pressure
3,578 psi (+78 psi)
vs baseline +26 psi
Fault slip margin
623 psi · up to 5.82 Mw
90/100 · Over limit
Cumulative CO₂
29,585,250 tonne
vs baseline +9,861,750 tonne
Pore volume filled
97.6 % of 70 % limit
End pressure
3,553 psi (+53 psi)
vs baseline +1 psi
Fault slip margin
638 psi · up to 5.82 Mw
Recorded induced seismicity
Measured events from the microseismic catalog, judged against the same magnitude limit as the modelled mass and pressure rows below.
No catalog attached, so the magnitude rows on this page are modelled upper bounds only. Import or paste a catalog on the microseismic screen and it appears here automatically.
Limits breached
Every metric at “close to limit” or worse, across all scenarios.
Base plan — 2,700 t/d for 20 yr — Largest magnitude the volume allows
McGarr volumetric UPPER BOUND (ΣM₀ ≤ 2GΔV) — a ceiling, not a forecast
5.71 Mw vs limit 3.00
Over limit
Accelerated — 4,000 t/d for 20 yr — Largest magnitude the volume allows
McGarr volumetric UPPER BOUND (ΣM₀ ≤ 2GΔV) — a ceiling, not a forecast
5.82 Mw vs limit 3.00
Over limit
Extended life — 2,700 t/d for 30 yr — Largest magnitude the volume allows
McGarr volumetric UPPER BOUND (ΣM₀ ≤ 2GΔV) — a ceiling, not a forecast
5.82 Mw vs limit 3.00
Over limit
Extended life — 2,700 t/d for 30 yr — Pore volume filled
29,585,250 t injected against 30,306,649 t of accessible pore space
97.62 % of storable vs limit 70.00
Over limit
Accelerated — 4,000 t/d for 20 yr — Pore volume filled
29,220,000 t injected against 30,306,649 t of accessible pore space
96.41 % of storable vs limit 70.00
Over limit
Base plan — 2,700 t/d for 20 yr — Pore volume filled
19,723,500 t injected against 30,306,649 t of accessible pore space
65.08 % of storable vs limit 70.00
Close to limit
Extended life — 2,700 t/d for 30 yr — Plume radius vs area of review
Nordbotten-Celia similarity solution at end of injection
4,505.92 ft vs limit 5,280.00
Close to limit
Shared site and plan
Rock, seal, fault and the default plan every scenario inherits.
Thresholds
The limits every scenario is judged against. Change them and every score moves.
What the scenario report carries
Exactly these lines, so the report and this page can never disagree.
Scenarios scored3 of 3
Worst scenarioExtended life — 2,700 t/d for 30 yr — score 90/100 (red)
Cumulative CO₂ (worst)29585250 tonne
Pore volume filled (worst)97.6 %
End pressure (worst)3553 psi (+53 psi)
Plume radius (worst)4506 ft
Fault slip margin (worst)638 psi
Upper-bound magnitude (worst)5.82 Mw
Driving pillarmass
Recorded seismicityNo catalog attached — magnitude above is a modelled upper bound only.
Limits breachedBase plan — 2,700 t/d for 20 yr: Largest magnitude the volume allows; Accelerated — 4,000 t/d for 20 yr: Largest magnitude the volume allows; Extended life — 2,700 t/d for 30 yr: Largest magnitude the volume allows; Extended life — 2,700 t/d for 30 yr: Pore volume filled
Assumptions behind every number
- Constant injection rate for the whole duration — no ramp-up, no shut-ins.
- Single-compartment, radially symmetric plume (Nordbotten-Celia geometry).
- Δp is the Theis log-time approximation at the wellbore, not a simulated field.
- The magnitude row is the McGarr volumetric ceiling, not a seismicity forecast.
- Net pay 61 m used for buoyancy head across the plume.